Highest Threat: Southwest Connecticut

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By Quincy Vagell on July 26, 2012, 11:30am

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All signs still point towards SW Connecticut for the highest storm threat.

Gil and I have reviewed the latest data and everything continues to point to this area.
It looks like lower Litchfield County, Fairfield County and New Haven Counties have the greatest potential to see damaging thunderstorms later today.

The image above shows 500mb vertical velocities.
The upward motion supports rapid and significant thunderstorm development.

Some additional images below (all forecast at 10 p.m.) also pinpoint SW CT.

Although the best dynamics may not get here until 10 p.m.,
we strongly urge that the storms that move through after 6 p.m. be followed closely and warnings taken seriously.

This is only a forecast, but there are some strong signals that damaging winds could be very possible in those areas. There is also a slight threat of isolated tornadoes.

Tornado probabilities:

700mb winds:

0-3km Helicity (storm rotation)

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Quincy Vagell

Town: Marlborough, CT  

Reporting for WXedge since January 2012.

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