Ernesto...Is That You?
By Gil Simmons on July 31, 2012, 3:56pm
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The National Hurricane Center is highlighting an area of convection way out across the open Atlantic Waters! The next name for a tropical storm is Ernesto.
It is over relatively warm water and riding the southern edge of a belt of high pressure to the north. SST anomalies are slightly above in this area as well!
Here is the bulletin from Tuesday morning from the National Hurricane Center:
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
The next slide will show the cloud pattern and location over the Atlantic.