NAM Model: Possible Winds on Monday
By Quincy Vagell on October 26, 2012, 6:00am Last modified: October 26, 2012, 4:42pm
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This wind field map is based on the 6z run of the NAM model at 2 p.m. Monday.
The graphic shows wind speeds measured near the surface. The NAM brings the storm south of Long Island by Monday afternoon.
What does it mean?
*BASED ON THIS MODEL* the winds would be out of the northeast across Connecticut. The wind flow would force water into Long Island Sound, causing coastal flooding and an increased storm surge.
Wind speeds would be sustained of 35 to 45 MPH across the state, but stronger winds east of Cape Cod would probably eventually filter in.
These winds would be SIMILAR to Tropical Storm Irene.
Remember that the storm is expected to slow down and possibly perform a loop, meaning that the duration of strong winds would likely be LONGER than Irene.
Further analysis:
*BASED ON THIS MODEL* As the storm moves towards New Jersey, winds would shift to the east, causing the coastal flooding to become more severe later Monday. Also remember that higher than normal tides are already expected, even without a storm, due to the full moon cycle.
Stay tuned to WXedge.com, especially as the exact track becomes more clear.
All of the computer model forecast tracks
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