Snow in Next Week's Forecast?
By Quincy Vagell on November 1, 2012, 4:00pm Last modified: November 2, 2012, 12:59pm
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The seasons have seemed to flip since Sandy rolled in and now with cooler air in place, we could be talking about some snow by next week.
Some of the computer models have been hinting at a coastal storm developing and now the confidence in a potential storm is increasing. Gil has included snow in his inland 8-day forecast for the past two days.
Overview:
As we move into Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. a low pressure system may develop along the East Coast. With a digging trough expected to kick the storm to the north-northeast, we could have a nor'easter on our hands.
If the storm has enough cold air to work with, some areas could see snow.
It should be stressed that this potential system is still several days away and a lot could change with the forecast. At this point, inland areas have the highest possibility of seeing snow and a major snow storm is UNLIKELY.
Model discussion:
The GFS, as shown above, shows a scenario that could mean wet snow changing to rain inland, as low pressure cuts into Cape Cod. It's not the most ideal scenario for snow, especially in early November. Although high pressure is in place ahead of the storm, it slides eastward and allows for warmer air to flow in from the ocean.
The ECMWF had been offshore, but the latest run (12z) is now much closer to the coast. With a track from Cape Hatteras to central Massachusetts, the result would be all or mostly rain.
Both models do show a deep area of low pressure moving into New England, which would make for two strong storm systems in just over a week's time.
Snow in November:
Although November is usually not a snowy month, inland areas usually average a couple of inches of snow for November. We can't forget last year's October snow storm and other snow (and even ice) storms have occurred in November in recent memory.
Stay tuned to WXedge.com for all of the latest forecast details.
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